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    Prediction Markets

    Bipartisan Bill Targets Unregulated Prediction Platforms Offering Sports Wagers

    OliBy OliMarch 24, 2026No Comments
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    Quick Summary

    • California Senator Adam Schiff and Utah Senator John Curtis unveiled the Prediction Markets Act on Monday targeting unregulated online betting platforms
    • The proposed legislation seeks to close a regulatory loophole that lets platforms offer sports wagers nationwide without obtaining state gambling licenses
    • Under CFTC Chair Mike Selig’s leadership, enforcement rules were loosened, enabling real-money wagering operations in every state without compliance to local licensing requirements or tax obligations
    • The proposal has garnered backing from state officials like Utah’s Governor Spencer Cox and organizations representing tribal gaming interests
    • If enacted, the law would prohibit prediction contracts that function as sports wagers while maintaining state authority over gambling activities

    A bipartisan pair of senators unveiled legislation Monday designed to rein in prediction markets that have been operating in a regulatory gray area. Democrat Adam Schiff of California and Republican John Curtis of Utah jointly presented the Prediction Markets Act to address growing concerns.

    The proposed legislation focuses on online betting platforms currently functioning under Commodity Futures Trading Commission jurisdiction. These services have been accepting real-money wagers on sporting events and games nationwide while circumventing state licensing requirements and avoiding local tax payments.

    The controversy stems from a regulatory loophole. By operating under CFTC federal authority, prediction platforms have sidestepped the more stringent regulations that traditional gambling establishments and sports betting operators must follow at the state level.

    In recent months, CFTC Chair Mike Selig has taken a more permissive stance toward these platforms. He has championed the commission’s jurisdiction over prediction markets while reducing enforcement actions.

    This regulatory shift enabled prediction platforms to grow their operations quickly. Services expanded into jurisdictions where sports gambling remains prohibited or faces substantial restrictions.

    Bipartisan Concerns Drive Legislative Response

    Senator Schiff characterized sports prediction contracts as indistinguishable from conventional sports wagers. He criticized the CFTC for enabling what he described as unlawful gambling operations instead of upholding existing regulations.

    Schiff emphasized the urgency for congressional intervention to safeguard state consumer protection frameworks and preserve tax revenue streams for local communities.

    Senator Curtis approached the issue from a different angle. He argued that gambling activities resembling casino operations must remain subject to rigorous state oversight and fall outside federal regulatory jurisdiction for local sports betting matters.

    Curtis highlighted specific concerns about accessibility for younger demographics who can easily reach these platforms through mobile devices.

    The bipartisan support for the legislation underscores widespread agreement across party lines regarding consumer safeguards and preserving state sovereignty over gambling regulation.

    Governors and Tribal Organizations Rally Behind Legislation

    Utah’s Governor Spencer Cox has emerged as a leading opponent of unregulated prediction markets. He recently announced his commitment to pursuing all available legal remedies to challenge the CFTC’s position in court.

    Cox characterized these platforms as straightforward gambling operations that inflict harm on families and particularly vulnerable young users.

    Tribal gaming representatives have also expressed strong support for the measure. David Bean, who chairs the Indian Gaming Association, commended the legislation for preserving tribal and state regulatory authority.

    Bean noted that prediction platforms currently operate without oversight mechanisms and subject participants to unregulated dangers.

    James Siva, chair of the California Nations Gaming Association, described prediction contracts on upcoming sporting events as unlicensed gambling enterprises. He argued that permitting unrestricted mobile wagering from any location nationwide undermines tribal government interests.

    Both tribal representatives indicated their commitment to collaborating with lawmakers on advancing the legislation.

    Licensed sports betting operators invest substantial resources to meet state compliance standards. They secure proper licensing, develop regulated applications, and support local economies through tax contributions and employment opportunities.

    Prediction market platforms have avoided these obligations by leveraging federal oversight mechanisms originally intended for different purposes than sports wagering.

    Should the legislation become law, it would prohibit any contracts resembling sports wagers from being offered through the CFTC regulatory structure. States would maintain complete authority over gambling regulation within their territories.

    The Indian Gaming Association and California Nations Gaming Association have both committed to direct engagement with Congress as the legislative process unfolds.

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